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Forecasting - Meaning and significance
Learning ObjectivesForecasting - Meaning and significance
Forecasting is a technique of predicting the future based on the results of previous data. It involves a detailed analysis of past and present trends or events to predict future events. It uses statistical tools and techniques. Therefore, it is also called Statistical analysis. Forecasting acts as a planning tool that helps to get ready for the uncertainty that can occur in the future.
Forecasting begins with management's experience and knowledge sharing.
Significance of Forecasting:
- Provides reliable and relevant information about the present and past trends and future predictions that help in planning better.
- Gives the confidence to take important decisions.
- Helps in the handling of uncertainty efficiently
- Optimal utilization
- Managing stock out or surplus stocks
- Helps in managing short expiry
- Minimise Risk of Expiry
- Helps in making the best managerial decisions
Resources
- Standard Operating Procedure Manual, Procurement & Supply Chain Management, Central TB Division, Ministry of Health and Family Welfare, Government of India.
- Companion Handbook to the WHO Guidelines for the Programmatic Management of Drug-resistant Tuberculosis. WHO, 2014.
Assessment
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Answer 1 |
Answer 2 |
Answer 3 |
Answer 4 |
Correct answer |
Correct explanation |
Page id |
Part of Pre-test |
Part of Post-test |
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How often is the quantification process in undertaken at the central level? |
Monthly |
Quarterly |
Annually |
Half-yearly |
3 |
As per the current Standard Operating Procedure Manual of Procurement & Supply Chain Management, Central TB Division, the quantification process in done on annual basis at the central level. |
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Yes |
Yes |
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